Arda Kardzhali 3-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arda Kardzhali EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.78/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.40
-25% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arda Kardzhali
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 0-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
03.03.2025 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 1-0 HT 1-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
21.10.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
20.05.2024 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
29.04.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali BUL1
24.01.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arda Kardzhali
3-0
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arda Kardzhali ran out comfortable winners over CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was CSKA 1948 Sofia at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arda Kardzhali had 38% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 62%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arda Kardzhali and 0.67 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Arda Kardzhali 3-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arda Kardzhali vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Arda Kardzhali 35%, draw 25%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 41%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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