Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cherno More Varna v Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Team-Based Signals
Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cherno More Varna
BUL1
Cherno More Varna 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 — Actual Match Statistics
Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 edged past Cherno More Varna 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Cherno More Varna at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Cherno More Varna had 63% of the ball to Lokomotiv Sofia 1929's 37%, shots finished 13-13.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Cherno More Varna and 0.60 for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929.
What was the final score of Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
Cherno More Varna 0-1 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia 1929?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cherno More Varna win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cherno More Varna 53%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cherno More Varna), BTTS Yes went the other way.