CSKA Sofia 2-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
64%
-1.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 18%
-27% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.41/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.46
-20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.07.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 1-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
26.05.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-4 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
09.05.2025 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-0 HT 2-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
22.02.2025 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.08.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv BUL1
01.05.2024 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 2-0 HT 1-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
2-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
66% Ball Possession 34%
26 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia nicked a narrow win over Botev Plovdiv 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 66% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 34%, shots finished 26-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for CSKA Sofia and 0.67 for Botev Plovdiv.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

CSKA Sofia 2-1 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 63%, draw 19%, Botev Plovdiv 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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