Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motor Lublin v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Motor Lublin 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok squeezed past Motor Lublin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jagiellonia Bialystok as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.01 to 0.89 — on chances, Motor Lublin could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Motor Lublin and 2.50 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
What was the final score of Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Motor Lublin 1-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 31/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motor Lublin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Before kick-off our model rated an Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Motor Lublin 33%, draw 24%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.