Truro City 2-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 29% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.3pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.33/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.04
-13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Truro City
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
09.03.2024 Truro City Truro City 1-4 HT 1-3 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
25.11.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 0-0 Truro City Truro City İCON
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City nicked a narrow win over Chelmsford City 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Truro City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Truro City and 2.50 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Chelmsford City?

Truro City 2-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Truro City 39%, draw 29%, Chelmsford City 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Truro City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Truro City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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