Atletico Nacional vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Nacional v Envigado — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Nacional vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Nacional
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
Envigado
KOL
Atletico Nacional 1-0 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Nacional nicked a narrow win over Envigado 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Atletico Nacional had 79% of the ball to Envigado's 21%, shots finished 26-6, expected goals 1.19 to 0.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Nacional and 0.33 for Envigado.
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Envigado?
Atletico Nacional 1-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Envigado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 69%, draw 18%, Envigado 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.