Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportivo Cali v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
3-0
HT 2-0
Deportivo Cali
KOL
2-2
HT 0-1
Independiente Medellin
KOL
Deportivo Cali 1-3 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin got the better of Deportivo Cali 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Medellin as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportivo Cali had 35% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 65%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.54 to 1.17.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.33 for Independiente Medellin.
What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellin?
Deportivo Cali 1-3 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 25%, draw 27%, Independiente Medellin 48%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Medellin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.