Perth Glory 0-2 Melbourne Victory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒13:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.39
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
23.1
1/X
8%
13.0
X/1
15%
6.74
X/2
11%
5.3
X/X
12%
5.37
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
18%
3.02
2/X
5%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.1 — our 7% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 46%
+2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
1.42/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.46
+22% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
18.8 Crosses 17.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Melbourne Victory
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.06 xG 1.80
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 9
259 Passes 484
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 37
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2025 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-2 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
08.12.2024 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2-0 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
31.03.2024 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
06.01.2024 Perth Glory Perth Glory 2-3 HT 1-1 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
04.10.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 0-4 HT 0-3 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory HAZ
09.04.2023 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
0-2
AWAY Melbourne Victory
1.47 xG 1.36
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
475 Passes 320
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory saw off Perth Glory 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Melbourne Victory made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Perth Glory had 57% of the ball to Melbourne Victory's 43%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.47 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne Victory led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Perth Glory and 2.17 for Melbourne Victory.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory?

Perth Glory 0-2 Melbourne Victory in the Australia - A-League on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Melbourne Victory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 38%, draw 26%, Melbourne Victory 36%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Perth Glory) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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