Dugopolje 3-1 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.16
No
49%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.6pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.5pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 31%
-12% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +1%
1.02/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.94
-7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dugopolje
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Jarun
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2025 Jarun Jarun 1-1 HT 0-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
10.05.2025 Dugopolje Dugopolje 2-1 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
02.11.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
25.08.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-2 HT 1-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
06.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-2 HT 0-2 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
25.11.2023 Jarun Jarun 0-2 HT 0-1 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dugopolje
3-1
AWAY Jarun
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dugopolje vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dugopolje got the better of Jarun 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Dugopolje made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dugopolje had 57% of the ball to Jarun's 43%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dugopolje had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dugopolje and 0.83 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Dugopolje vs Jarun?

Dugopolje 3-1 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dugopolje vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dugopolje win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Dugopolje 40%, draw 26%, Jarun 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dugopolje), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dugopolje) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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