Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-1 Aluminium Arak — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 31 Oct 2025

📅31/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.45
Over 2.5
41%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.75
No
60%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
5.71
6+ Goals
10%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
62%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.8pp
60%
BTTS No
68%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.35/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/1.41
-14% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Esteghlal Khuzestan
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aluminium Arak
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
19.09.2025 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 2-0 HT 2-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
02.05.2025 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 5-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
20.01.2025 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
20.12.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 1-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
15.08.2024 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
12.04.2024 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 0-1 HT 0-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
POST-MATCH Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esteghlal Khuzestan got the better of Aluminium Arak 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Esteghlal Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esteghlal Khuzestan had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Esteghlal Khuzestan and 0.83 for Aluminium Arak.

What was the final score of Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?

Esteghlal Khuzestan 3-1 Aluminium Arak in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 31/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Aluminium Arak?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esteghlal Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Esteghlal Khuzestan 57%, draw 24%, Aluminium Arak 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esteghlal Khuzestan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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