Eastleigh 4-4 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Jan 2024

📅01/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 30% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.45
1/2
8%
24.7
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
7%
6.32
X/2
14%
4.77
X/X
10%
4.89
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
20%
3.01
2/X
9%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 48%
+15% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -3%
1.32/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.00
+3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
227 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 4-1 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
14.02.2023 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
16.08.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
22.03.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
23.11.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.04.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
4-4
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh and Dagenham & Redbridge shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dagenham & Redbridge at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Eastleigh had 46% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 54%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eastleigh and 1.33 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Eastleigh 4-4 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 01/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 33%, draw 25%, Dagenham & Redbridge 42%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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