Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
41%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.07
Over 2.5
46%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
2.95
6+ Goals
9%
9.37
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 30% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.21
1/2
6%
22.1
1/X
9%
15.05
X/1 EV+ ✗
13%
9.85
X/2
12%
4.15
X/X
14%
5.53
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.17
2/X
6%
14.4
Value flag · X/1 at 9.85 — our 13% vs market 6.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.7pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
41%
Away Win
55%
-14.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 59%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.02/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/0.61
-12% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +87%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
01.04.2024 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
28.10.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
19.12.2020 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 5-2 HT 3-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United FAK
01.01.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
26.12.2019 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
13.04.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0-2
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge got the better of Ebbsfleet United 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dagenham & Redbridge as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 47% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 53%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.67 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Ebbsfleet United 0-2 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 30%, draw 29%, Dagenham & Redbridge 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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