Bath City 1-0 Farnborough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.74
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.82
6+ Goals
10%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Farnborough EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -18%
1.04/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.57
-22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Farnborough
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
25.11.2023 Farnborough Farnborough 2-2 HT 1-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
28.01.2023 Bath City Bath City 0-1 HT 0-0 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
27.08.2022 Farnborough Farnborough 0-1 HT 0-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
17.02.2015 Bath City Bath City 7-4 HT 5-1 Farnborough Farnborough İCON
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Farnborough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City squeezed past Farnborough 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Bath City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bath City and 1.80 for Farnborough.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Farnborough?

Bath City 1-0 Farnborough in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Farnborough?

Before kick-off our model rated an Farnborough win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bath City 35%, draw 26%, Farnborough 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Farnborough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Farnborough) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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