Cheltenham Town 1-0 Chesterfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
8%
18.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.39
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
13%
6.1
X/2
10%
5.29
X/X
14%
4.12
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.52
2/X
10%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.35/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.05
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +40%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
235 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 67%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.2 Crosses 18.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chesterfield
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 1.83
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
151 Passes 409
61% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2024 Chesterfield Chesterfield 1-1 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
17.03.2018 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
30.09.2017 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-2 HT 0-1 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
25.02.2014 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-4 HT 0-4 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
10.08.2013 Chesterfield Chesterfield 2-0 HT 1-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN2
05.03.2013 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
1-0
AWAY Chesterfield
1.00 xG 1.43
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
120 Passes 304
52% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Chesterfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town edged past Chesterfield 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 34% — and on the day Cheltenham Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 36% of the ball to Chesterfield's 64%, shots finished 10-17, expected goals 1.00 to 1.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chesterfield.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.33 for Chesterfield.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Chesterfield?

Cheltenham Town 1-0 Chesterfield in the England - 2nd Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Chesterfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 33%, draw 33%, Chesterfield 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Under 2.5
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