Newport County vs Barrow Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport County v Barrow — Team-Based Signals
Newport County vs Barrow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Barrow
İN2
0-1
HT 0-0
Newport County
İN2
0-2
HT 0-1
Barrow
İN2
2-1
HT 2-0
Barrow
İN2
Newport County 1-0 Barrow — Actual Match Statistics
Newport County edged past Barrow 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Newport County made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Newport County had 46% of the ball to Barrow's 54%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.15 to 0.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Barrow.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barrow led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Newport County and 1.17 for Barrow.
What was the final score of Newport County vs Barrow?
Newport County 1-0 Barrow in the England - 2nd Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport County vs Barrow?
Before kick-off our model rated a Newport County win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newport County 37%, draw 28%, Barrow 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newport County), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.