Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Port Vale v Accrington Stanley — Team-Based Signals
Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Port Vale
İN1
1-1
HT 0-0
Accrington Stanley
İN1
5-1
HT 1-0
Accrington Stanley
FAK
3-2
HT 0-2
Port Vale
İN2
1-2
HT 1-1
Accrington Stanley
İN2
Port Vale 2-1 Accrington Stanley — Actual Match Statistics
Port Vale squeezed past Accrington Stanley 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Port Vale as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Port Vale had 38% of the ball to Accrington Stanley's 62%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.28 to 1.21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Accrington Stanley led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Port Vale and 2.00 for Accrington Stanley.
What was the final score of Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley?
Port Vale 2-1 Accrington Stanley in the England - 2nd Division on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley?
Before kick-off our model rated a Port Vale win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Port Vale 42%, draw 28%, Accrington Stanley 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Port Vale), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.