Nottingham Forest 7-0 Brighton & Hove Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.47
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.69
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
10%
12.15
X/1
11%
5.85
X/2
8%
5.98
X/X
9%
4.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.82
2/X
8%
12.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 10% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.29/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.12
+3% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
19.6 Crosses 16.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 1.36
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
221 Passes 514
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 2-2 HT 2-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
10.03.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
25.11.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 1-2 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
26.04.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-1 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
18.10.2022 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
04.03.2017 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 3-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
7-0
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion
3.41 xG 0.88
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 458
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 31
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest swept aside Brighton & Hove Albion 7-0. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nottingham Forest as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 7-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 37% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion's 63%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 3.41 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.17 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Nottingham Forest 7-0 Brighton & Hove Albion in the England - Premier League on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 42%, draw 27%, Brighton & Hove Albion 30%. The final score 7-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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