Sorrento Calcio 2-1 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Feb 2025

📅01/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sorrento Calcio EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 51%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +7%
0.84/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/0.95
-22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
221 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sorrento Calcio
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Crotone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.09.2024 Crotone Crotone 1-2 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
03.02.2024 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
24.09.2023 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 1-0 Sorrento Calcio Sorrento Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sorrento Calcio
2-1
AWAY Crotone
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sorrento Calcio nicked a narrow win over Crotone 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sorrento Calcio had 33% of the ball to Crotone's 67%, shots finished 7-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sorrento Calcio and 1.00 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone?

Sorrento Calcio 2-1 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sorrento Calcio vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sorrento Calcio 30%, draw 26%, Crotone 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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