Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tijuana v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Tijuana vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-1
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
Tijuana 2-3 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul edged past Tijuana 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Tijuana at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Tijuana had 65% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 35%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.11 to 2.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cruz Azul's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tijuana and 1.50 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Tijuana 2-3 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 01/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tijuana vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tijuana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tijuana 41%, draw 25%, Cruz Azul 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.