Penya Encarnada 1-0 Esperança dAndorra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.72
Draw
18%
3.64
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
55%
+5.5pp
18%
Draw
25%
-6.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Esperança dAndorra EU Bookmakers 23%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.74/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.89
+23% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -53%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
391 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penya Encarnada
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Esperança dAndorra
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2025 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-1 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
27.04.2025 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 1-0 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
16.02.2025 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 1-2 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
29.09.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 3-1 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
05.05.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 3-2 HT 0-0 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra AND
03.12.2023 Esperança dAndorra Esperança dAndorra 0-3 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada AND
POST-MATCH Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada edged past Esperança dAndorra 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Penya Encarnada and 0.83 for Esperança dAndorra.

What was the final score of Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra?

Penya Encarnada 1-0 Esperança dAndorra in the Andorra - 1st Division on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penya Encarnada vs Esperança dAndorra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Penya Encarnada 60%, draw 18%, Esperança dAndorra 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AND More Andorra - 1st Division
1 Feb 2026
13:00 UE Santa Coloma vs Ordino Analysis →
18:00 Inter Club vs FC Santa Coloma Analysis →