Aurora vs Malacateco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aurora v Malacateco — Team-Based Signals
Aurora vs Malacateco Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Aurora 1-0 Malacateco — Actual Match Statistics
Aurora squeezed past Malacateco 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Aurora had 54% of the ball to Malacateco's 46%, shots finished 16-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Aurora and 0.75 for Malacateco.
What was the final score of Aurora vs Malacateco?
Aurora 1-0 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aurora vs Malacateco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aurora 54%, draw 24%, Malacateco 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.