Municipal 2-1 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.29
No
53%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
67%
+0.5pp
15%
Draw
21%
-5.9pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.89/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.65
+6% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Guastatoya
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
27.11.2025 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
15.09.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-3 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
18.04.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
13.02.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
24.10.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.02.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
2-1
AWAY Guastatoya
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal edged past Guastatoya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Municipal had 61% of the ball to Guastatoya's 39%, shots finished 11-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Municipal and 0.17 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Guastatoya?

Municipal 2-1 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Municipal 67%, draw 15%, Guastatoya 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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