Guastatoya 0-3 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 15 Sep 2025

Guastatoya
0-3 HT 0-1
Municipal
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2025/2026

Guastatoya vs Municipal Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guastatoya v Municipal — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -17%
0.88/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.88
-17% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Guastatoya vs Municipal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Municipal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.04.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
13.02.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
24.10.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.02.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 0-1 HT 0-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
21.01.2024 Municipal Municipal 5-1 HT 2-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
21.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal swept aside Guastatoya 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guastatoya and 2.00 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Municipal?

Guastatoya 0-3 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 24%, draw 30%, Municipal 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5
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