Osijek 1-0 Rijeka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.6
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijeka EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -15%
1.06/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.18
-34% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
23.6 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rijeka
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.35
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
324 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 4-2 HT 2-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
09.08.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
23.04.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-2 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
16.02.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.11.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
25.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
1-0
AWAY Rijeka
1.10 xG 0.78
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
168 Passes 428
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osijek vs Rijeka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek nicked a narrow win over Rijeka 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Rijeka at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Osijek had 32% of the ball to Rijeka's 68%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.10 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rijeka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Osijek and 1.50 for Rijeka.

What was the final score of Osijek vs Rijeka?

Osijek 1-0 Rijeka in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs Rijeka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Osijek 32%, draw 25%, Rijeka 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rijeka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijeka) ✓ Under 2.5
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