Rijeka 4-2 Osijek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 27 Oct 2025

📅27/10/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijeka EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Osijek EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.51/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.10
-3% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
22.9 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijeka
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Osijek
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.08 xG 1.21
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
291 Passes 321
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-0 HT 0-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
23.04.2025 Rijeka Rijeka 0-2 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
16.02.2025 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-2 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
10.11.2024 Rijeka Rijeka 1-1 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
25.08.2024 Osijek Osijek 0-2 HT 0-1 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
19.05.2024 Osijek Osijek 2-0 HT 1-0 Rijeka Rijeka HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rijeka
4-2
AWAY Osijek
2.55 xG 0.89
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 Passes 270
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rijeka vs Osijek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rijeka saw off Osijek 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rijeka as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rijeka had 55% of the ball to Osijek's 45%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 2.55 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rijeka and 0.83 for Osijek.

What was the final score of Rijeka vs Osijek?

Rijeka 4-2 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 27/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijeka vs Osijek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijeka win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rijeka 48%, draw 24%, Osijek 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rijeka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rijeka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HIR More Croatia - 1. HNL
27 Oct 2025
21:00 Vukovar vs Dinamo Zagreb Analysis →