Monterrey vs Tijuana Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterrey v Tijuana — Team-Based Signals
Monterrey vs Tijuana Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterrey 2-2 Tijuana — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey and Tijuana shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
This one beat our numbers. Monterrey carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 58% to 42% in Monterrey's favour, shots finished 21-16, expected goals 1.35 to 1.72.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Monterrey against 1.33 for Tijuana.
Monterrey vs Tijuana Result & Final Score
Monterrey 2 - 2 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterrey vs Tijuana Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 59%, draw 24%, Tijuana 17%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.