Atlas vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atlas v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals
Atlas vs Mazatlan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atlas 1-0 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics
Atlas found just enough to beat Mazatlan 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Atlas as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 49% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
By the numbers, possession split 56% to 44% in Atlas's favour, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 0.97 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mazatlan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Atlas against 1.50 for Mazatlan.
Atlas vs Mazatlan Result & Final Score
Atlas 1 - 0 Mazatlan in the Mexico - Primera on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atlas vs Mazatlan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atlas 52%, draw 26%, Mazatlan 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.