Leon vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Leon v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Leon 1-2 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics
Tigres UANL edged past Leon 2-1 on their travels. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Tigres UANL as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.
Under the surface, Leon had 51% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 49%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.45 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leon and 1.00 for Tigres UANL.
Leon vs Tigres UANL Result & Final Score
Leon 1 - 2 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Leon vs Tigres UANL Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Leon 26%, draw 28%, Tigres UANL 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tigres UANL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.