Tigres UANL 0-0 Leon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
2.66
6+ Goals
11%
7.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
63%
-2.3pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Leon EU Bookmakers 20%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.72/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.69
+4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.0 Crosses 12.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tigres UANL
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.18 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
374 Passes 297
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 Leon Leon 1-0 HT 1-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
28.09.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 2-2 HT 1-1 Leon Leon MEK
18.01.2024 Leon Leon 1-2 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
16.07.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-0 HT 1-0 Leon Leon MEK
04.05.2023 Leon Leon 3-1 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL CON
01.05.2023 Leon Leon 3-0 HT 2-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tigres UANL
0-0
AWAY Leon
1.44 xG 1.08
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
329 Passes 391
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tigres UANL vs Leon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tigres UANL and Leon played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

This one beat our numbers. Tigres UANL carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tigres UANL had 46% of the ball to Leon's 54%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 1.44 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leon led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.67 for Leon.

What was the final score of Tigres UANL vs Leon?

Tigres UANL 0-0 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tigres UANL vs Leon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tigres UANL win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tigres UANL 61%, draw 21%, Leon 19%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tigres UANL) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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