Atlas 2-2 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 14 Sep 2025

📅14/09/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlas EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -22%
1.32/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.81
-23% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
342 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
21.6 Crosses 14.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlas
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
366 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2025 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
17.07.2024 Atlas Atlas 1-0 HT 0-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
05.02.2024 Atlas Atlas 3-0 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
14.07.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
27.01.2023 Atlas Atlas 2-2 HT 0-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
01.08.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlas Atlas MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlas
2-2
AWAY Santos Laguna
0.42 xG 1.41
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 11
195 Passes 388
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Atlas vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas and Santos Laguna couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Atlas at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atlas had 36% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 64%, shots finished 7-25, expected goals 0.42 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atlas and 0.83 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Atlas vs Santos Laguna?

Atlas 2-2 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlas vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atlas 50%, draw 23%, Santos Laguna 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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