Pachuca vs Cruz Azul Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Cruz Azul — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Cruz Azul Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-2
HT 0-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
1-2
HT 0-2
Pachuca
MEK
Pachuca 0-1 Cruz Azul — Actual Match Statistics
Cruz Azul nicked a narrow win over Pachuca 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cruz Azul found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Pachuca had 50% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 50%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.56 to 1.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Pachuca and 1.50 for Cruz Azul.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
Pachuca 0-1 Cruz Azul in the Mexico - Primera on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Cruz Azul?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 35%, draw 28%, Cruz Azul 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cruz Azul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.