Club America vs Guadalajara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Club America v Guadalajara — Team-Based Signals
Club America vs Guadalajara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Club America 1-2 Guadalajara — Actual Match Statistics
Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Club America 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Club America at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Club America had 64% of the ball to Guadalajara's 36%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.60 to 1.14.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club America and 0.17 for Guadalajara.
What was the final score of Club America vs Guadalajara?
Club America 1-2 Guadalajara in the Mexico - Primera on 14/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Club America vs Guadalajara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Club America 57%, draw 22%, Guadalajara 21%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club America) went the other way.