Legia Varşova 1-2 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.74
6+ Goals
8%
16.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.64
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
15%
4.46
X/2
10%
8.13
X/X
11%
4.58
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
9%
6.52
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.48/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.21
-35% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
22.6 Crosses 17.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.54 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 Passes 310
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-2 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
02.02.2025 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-1 HT 1-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
28.07.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
25.02.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 3-3 HT 1-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
06.12.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
20.08.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
1-2
AWAY Korona Kielce
2.30 xG 1.74
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 Passes 202
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
51 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce edged past Legia Varşova 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 64% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 36%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.30 to 1.74 — on chances, Legia Varşova could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.00 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Korona Kielce?

Legia Varşova 1-2 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 49%, draw 27%, Korona Kielce 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Legia Varşova), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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