PAOK 4-1 Panserraikos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 1 Feb 2026

📅01/02/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
83%
1.16
Draw
12%
7.13
Away
5%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.74
Over
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.88
2-3
37%
2.05
4-5
27%
2.48
6+
14%
5.34
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.88 — our 22% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.21
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
3%
35.0
X/1
30%
3.73
X/2
2%
35.0
X/X
6%
12.95
2/1
10%
27.0
2/2
2%
35.0
2/X
3%
35.0
Value flag · X/1 at 3.73 — our 30% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PAOK The Market 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Panserraikos The Market 9%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.96/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/2.33
+3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -21%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
489 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 74%
34.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
24.2 Crosses 8.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PAOK
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Panserraikos
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.10 xG 0.93
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
522 Passes 216
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
43 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2025 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-5 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
08.12.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-4 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUN
17.08.2024 PAOK PAOK 3-2 HT 2-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
28.02.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-2 HT 0-1 PAOK PAOK YUN
31.01.2024 PAOK PAOK 5-0 HT 2-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
17.01.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-4 HT 0-2 PAOK PAOK YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PAOK
4-1
AWAY Panserraikos
1.44 xG 0.62
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
512 Passes 237
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 7
19 Crosses 5
REVIEW PAOK vs Panserraikos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

PAOK swept aside Panserraikos 4-1. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PAOK as the likeliest winner at 83%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals card split: over 2.5 goals (61%) came in, no to both teams scoring (56%) didn't.

By the numbers, PAOK had 64% of the ball to Panserraikos's 36%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 1.44 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PAOK had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for PAOK and 0.50 for Panserraikos.

PAOK vs Panserraikos Result & Final Score

PAOK 4-1 Panserraikos in the Greece - Super League on 01/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

PAOK vs Panserraikos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a PAOK win the most likely single outcome at about 83%, with the full match-result split PAOK 83%, draw 12%, Panserraikos 5%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PAOK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PAOK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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