Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brisbane Roar v Melbourne Victory — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-0
Brisbane Roar
AVUS
0-0
HT 0-0
Melbourne Victory
AVUS
Brisbane Roar 1-1 Melbourne Victory — Actual Match Statistics
Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Brisbane Roar had 39% of the ball to Melbourne Victory's 61%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.97 to 0.97.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brisbane Roar and 0.67 for Melbourne Victory.
What was the final score of Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory?
Brisbane Roar 1-1 Melbourne Victory in the Australia - A-League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar 32%, draw 28%, Melbourne Victory 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne Victory), BTTS No went the other way.