Macarthur 0-2 Sydney — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒11:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.01
2-3 Goals
40%
2.07
4-5 Goals
26%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
4.34
1/2
7%
20.05
1/X
10%
12.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
7.35
X/2
11%
5.42
X/X
8%
6.32
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
23%
2.72
2/X
6%
12.2
Value flag · X/1 at 7.35 — our 18% vs market 10.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.2pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.2pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macarthur EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.42/1.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.38
+13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 411 · 84%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.7
21.2 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macarthur
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sydney
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.76
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
258 Passes 503
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Sydney Sydney 1-2 HT 0-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
04.05.2024 Sydney Sydney 4-0 HT 1-0 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
20.04.2024 Macarthur Macarthur 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney Sydney AVUS
09.12.2023 Sydney Sydney 0-2 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
24.12.2022 Sydney Sydney 0-3 HT 0-1 Macarthur Macarthur AVUS
29.10.2022 Macarthur Macarthur 2-3 HT 1-2 Sydney Sydney AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macarthur
0-2
AWAY Sydney
0.52 xG 2.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
288 Passes 452
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 34
19 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macarthur vs Sydney
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney saw off Macarthur 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sydney as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Macarthur had 42% of the ball to Sydney's 58%, shots finished 6-26, expected goals 0.52 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Macarthur had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Macarthur and 1.33 for Sydney.

What was the final score of Macarthur vs Sydney?

Macarthur 0-2 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macarthur vs Sydney?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Macarthur 35%, draw 24%, Sydney 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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