Grasshoppers 1-0 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.75
Over 2.5
53%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.79
6+ Goals
13%
16.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 23% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.87
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
26.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
8%
6.48
X/2
13%
4.78
X/X
8%
4.44
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
21%
3.05
2/X
9%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 12% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
46%
Away Win
43%
+3.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
53%
-6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
47%
+6.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.24/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.80
-1% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +77%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
18.9 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lugano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.81 xG 2.06
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
220 Passes 511
74% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2026 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
27.09.2025 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
08.02.2025 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
31.10.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.07.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
13.04.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
1-0
AWAY Lugano
0.57 xG 0.85
27% Ball Possession 73%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
166 Passes 560
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 49
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers edged past Lugano 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 27% of the ball to Lugano's 73%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.57 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.33 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Lugano?

Grasshoppers 1-0 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 28%, draw 25%, Lugano 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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