Grasshoppers 1-1 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 31 Jan 2026

Grasshoppers
1-1 HT 0-0
Lugano
📅31/01/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Grasshoppers vs Lugano Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.86
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.07
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.55
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
16%
7.35
X/2
11%
5.03
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
5%
32.5
2/2
22%
2.82
2/X
8%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.55 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grasshoppers v Lugano — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.26/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.79
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +88%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
18.8 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Grasshoppers vs Lugano Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Lugano
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.70 xG 1.68
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
220 Passes 525
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2025 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
08.02.2025 Lugano Lugano 1-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
31.10.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 1-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.07.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
13.04.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
31.01.2024 Lugano Lugano 0-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV

Grasshoppers 1-1 Lugano — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
1-1
AWAY Lugano
0.84 xG 2.51
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
205 Passes 487
69% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers and Lugano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 34% of the ball to Lugano's 66%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.84 to 2.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.17 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Lugano?

Grasshoppers 1-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 31/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 31%, draw 25%, Lugano 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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