Genk 3-0 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 1 Mar 2026

Genk
3-0 HT 1-0
Gent
📅01/03/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.13
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.88
6+ Goals
11%
8.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
14%
4.68
X/2
11%
8.24
X/X
9%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.35
2/2
9%
5.81
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.35 — our 7% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
50%
+1.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.1pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genk EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.80/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.63
+1% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
405 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.4 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genk
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Gent
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.53 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
443 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Gent Gent 1-1 HT 0-1 Genk Genk BEL
18.05.2025 Gent Gent 1-4 HT 1-2 Genk Genk BEL
30.03.2025 Genk Genk 4-0 HT 1-0 Gent Gent BEL
23.02.2025 Genk Genk 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
27.10.2024 Gent Gent 0-2 HT 0-0 Genk Genk BEL
02.06.2024 Genk Genk 0-1 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Genk
3-0
AWAY Gent
2.44 xG 0.79
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
304 Passes 353
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Genk vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Genk swept aside Gent 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Genk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Genk had 47% of the ball to Gent's 53%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.44 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Genk had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Genk and 0.50 for Gent.

What was the final score of Genk vs Gent?

Genk 3-0 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genk vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Genk 52%, draw 22%, Gent 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Genk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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