Lille 1-0 Nantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 1 Mar 2026

Lille
1 - 0 HT 0 - 0
Nantes
📅01/03/2026 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2025/2026

Lille vs Nantes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
14%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.9
Over
51%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.21
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.41
6+
6%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.9
1/2
1%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.35
X/1
21%
3.86
X/2
6%
11.4
X/X
12%
5.47
2/1
3%
23.1
2/2
7%
9.79
2/X
4%
18.5
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Lille v Nantes — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Lille The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Nantes The Market 20%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.02 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.90
0.82 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.92
Average Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2

Lille vs Nantes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nantes
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.92 xG 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
539 Passes 216
89% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.10.2025 Nantes Nantes 0-2 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
15.03.2025 Nantes Nantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Lille Lille FR1
04.01.2025 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 1-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
12.05.2024 Nantes Nantes 1-2 HT 0-2 Lille Lille FR1
20.08.2023 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 0-0 Nantes Nantes FR1
27.05.2023 Lille Lille 2-1 HT 0-1 Nantes Nantes FR1

Lille 1-0 Nantes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
1 - 0
AWAY Nantes
0.63 xG 0.17
73% Ball Possession 27%
9 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
513 Passes 140
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
19 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Lille vs Nantes
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lille squeezed past Nantes 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

The goals picture was genuinely open: 51% for over 2.5, 49% on both teams scoring.

On the day, possession split 73% to 27% in Lille's favour, shots finished 9-3, expected goals 0.63 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Lille against 0.67 for Nantes.

Lille vs Nantes Result & Final Score

Lille 1 - 0 Nantes in the France - Ligue 1 on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Lille vs Nantes Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Lille 65%, draw 21%, Nantes 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026
17:00 Paris FC vs Nice Analysis →
19:15 Lorient vs Auxerre Analysis →
19:15 Metz vs Brest Analysis →
22:45 Marsilya vs Lyon Analysis →