Napredak Krusevac 1-1 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -24%
1.20/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.89
-2% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 72%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
22.2 Crosses 24.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.10
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
231 Passes 308
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
24.04.2025 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-1 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
22.12.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-2 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
17.08.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
12.02.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-1 HT 1-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
27.08.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-3 HT 0-2 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1-1
AWAY Spartak Subotica
0.62 xG 2.40
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
356 Passes 206
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac and Spartak Subotica shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 60% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 40%, shots finished 9-25, expected goals 0.62 to 2.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 1.00 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica?

Napredak Krusevac 1-1 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 33%, draw 29%, Spartak Subotica 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Subotica), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Subotica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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