Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Subotica v Napredak Krusevac — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Napredak Krusevac
SIRP
1-0
HT 1-0
Spartak Subotica
SIRP
Spartak Subotica 2-1 Napredak Krusevac — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Subotica squeezed past Napredak Krusevac 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Spartak Subotica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Spartak Subotica had 46% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 2.37 to 0.88 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Spartak Subotica's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napredak Krusevac led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Spartak Subotica and 1.67 for Napredak Krusevac.
What was the final score of Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac?
Spartak Subotica 2-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Subotica vs Napredak Krusevac?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Subotica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Spartak Subotica 41%, draw 27%, Napredak Krusevac 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartak Subotica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.