Mladost Lucani 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mladost Lucani EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 45%
+19% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.29/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.35
+17% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.6 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mladost Lucani
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.54 xG 1.96
35% Ball Possession 65%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
204 Passes 450
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.02.2025 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-0 HT 0-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
23.08.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 3-1 HT 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
26.04.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 4-1 HT 2-1 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
08.03.2024 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 1-0 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
22.12.2023 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 3-0 HT 2-0 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani SIRP
01.03.2023 Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani 0-1 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mladost Lucani
1-1
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
2.16 xG 3.11
29% Ball Possession 71%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 11
171 Passes 499
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 43
5 Crosses 44
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mladost Lucani vs Cukaricki Stankom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mladost Lucani and Cukaricki Stankom shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cukaricki Stankom at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mladost Lucani had 29% of the ball to Cukaricki Stankom's 71%, shots finished 12-21, expected goals 2.16 to 3.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mladost Lucani and 1.50 for Cukaricki Stankom.

What was the final score of Mladost Lucani vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Mladost Lucani 1-1 Cukaricki Stankom in the Serbia - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mladost Lucani vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cukaricki Stankom win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mladost Lucani 29%, draw 28%, Cukaricki Stankom 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cukaricki Stankom) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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