Kızılyıldız 2-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 28 Sep 2025

📅28/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.22
Draw
14%
6.26
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
29%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
78%
-1.8pp
14%
Draw
13%
+1.1pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.80/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/2.12
+56% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -15%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 68%
44.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
27.2 Crosses 14.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.84 xG 1.04
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
368 Passes 192
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
40 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.04.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 4-1 HT 1-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
08.02.2025 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 6-0 HT 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
01.09.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
12.05.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 3-2 HT 3-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
17.03.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-0 HT 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.10.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-3 HT 2-3 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
2-1
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
4.98 xG 0.69
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
444 Passes 239
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız squeezed past Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 62% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 38%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 4.98 to 0.69 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Kızılyıldız's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Kızılyıldız and 1.00 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Kızılyıldız 2-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 76%, draw 14%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 10%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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