Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Backa Topola v Novi Pazar — Team-Based Signals
Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Novi Pazar
SIRP
4-0
HT 2-0
Novi Pazar
SIRBK
Backa Topola 1-0 Novi Pazar — Actual Match Statistics
Backa Topola nicked a narrow win over Novi Pazar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Backa Topola had 53% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 47%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.19 to 1.53.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Backa Topola and 1.67 for Novi Pazar.
What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar?
Backa Topola 1-0 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 28/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Novi Pazar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 47%, draw 22%, Novi Pazar 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.