Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 1 Mar 2026

📅01/03/2026 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.46/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.96
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cerro Largo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 2-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
07.06.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
18.05.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
14.11.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
06.07.2024 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
12.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) got the better of Cerro Largo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Liverpool FC (Montevideo) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 55% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 45%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.83 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 01/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 50%, draw 26%, Cerro Largo 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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URU More Uruguay - Premier League
1 Mar 2026
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