Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Apr 2024

Dagenham & Redbridge
1-1 HT 0-0
Ebbsfleet United
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
15%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.86
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
14%
4.86
X/2
11%
6.9
X/X
9%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
24.0
2/2
14%
4.68
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 11% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.1pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dagenham & Redbridge v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 32%
-8% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.60/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.86
+3% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
19.12.2020 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 5-2 HT 3-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United FAK
01.01.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
26.12.2019 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
13.04.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
29.09.2018 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 HT 1-2 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dagenham & Redbridge
1-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dagenham & Redbridge vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge and Ebbsfleet United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dagenham & Redbridge at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Dagenham & Redbridge had 49% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 51%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dagenham & Redbridge and 1.17 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Dagenham & Redbridge vs Ebbsfleet United?

Dagenham & Redbridge 1-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dagenham & Redbridge 44%, draw 25%, Ebbsfleet United 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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