Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Colchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 25% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.69
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.76
X/2
10%
5.66
X/X
9%
4.81
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
20%
3.59
2/X
9%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.0pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Colchester EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
0.98/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.49
+7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 67%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
19.5 Crosses 17.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tranmere Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Colchester
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.84 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 Passes 246
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Colchester Colchester 2-0 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
25.03.2023 Colchester Colchester 1-1 HT 0-1 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
27.08.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
26.03.2022 Colchester Colchester 1-0 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
08.10.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
08.05.2021 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Colchester Colchester İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tranmere Rovers
1-1
AWAY Colchester
1.29 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
355 Passes 351
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tranmere Rovers vs Colchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tranmere Rovers and Colchester shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tranmere Rovers had 51% of the ball to Colchester's 49%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 1.29 to 1.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tranmere Rovers and 0.67 for Colchester.

What was the final score of Tranmere Rovers vs Colchester?

Tranmere Rovers 1-1 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tranmere Rovers vs Colchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tranmere Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tranmere Rovers 38%, draw 27%, Colchester 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tranmere Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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