Harrogate Town 3-2 Tranmere Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2025

Harrogate Town
3-2 HT 1-0
Tranmere Rovers
📅01/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Harrogate Town vs Tranmere Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.1
6+ Goals
7%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.22
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
13%
5.52
X/2
16%
5.46
X/X
17%
3.7
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
11%
4.14
2/X
6%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.4pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Harrogate Town v Tranmere Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harrogate Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Tranmere Rovers EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.32/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.18
-6% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
233 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 67%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
19.0 Crosses 21.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Harrogate Town vs Tranmere Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harrogate Town
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.03 xG 1.10
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
256 Passes 313
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
29.12.2023 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
15.08.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
31.03.2023 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2
22.10.2022 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers İN2
15.03.2022 Tranmere Rovers Tranmere Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Harrogate Town Harrogate Town İN2

Harrogate Town 3-2 Tranmere Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Harrogate Town
3-2
AWAY Tranmere Rovers
0.63 xG 1.64
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
130 Passes 394
52% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Harrogate Town vs Tranmere Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harrogate Town squeezed past Tranmere Rovers 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Harrogate Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Harrogate Town had 32% of the ball to Tranmere Rovers's 68%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.63 to 1.64 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tranmere Rovers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tranmere Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.83 for Tranmere Rovers.

What was the final score of Harrogate Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Harrogate Town 3-2 Tranmere Rovers in the England - 2nd Division on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harrogate Town vs Tranmere Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harrogate Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Harrogate Town 36%, draw 31%, Tranmere Rovers 34%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harrogate Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Harrogate Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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