Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perez Zeledon v Alajuelense — Team-Based Signals
Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Perez Zeledon
KOSTA
Perez Zeledon 1-2 Alajuelense — Actual Match Statistics
Alajuelense nicked a narrow win over Perez Zeledon 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alajuelense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Perez Zeledon had 34% of the ball to Alajuelense's 66%, shots finished 10-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alajuelense led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Perez Zeledon and 1.67 for Alajuelense.
What was the final score of Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense?
Perez Zeledon 1-2 Alajuelense in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 01/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perez Zeledon vs Alajuelense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alajuelense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Perez Zeledon 30%, draw 23%, Alajuelense 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alajuelense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.